DNA methylation is a fundamental epigenetic process known to play an important
role in the regulation of gene expression. DNA CpG methylation involves the
addition of a methyl group (\(\text{CH}_3\)) to the fifth carbon of the cytosine
ring structure to form 5-methylcytosine. Numerous biological and medical studies
have implicated DNA CpG methylation as playing a role in disease and
development (Robertson 2005). Perhaps unsurprisingly then, biotechnologies
have been developed to study the molecular mechanisms of this epigenetic
process. Modern assays, like the Illumina *Infinium* Methylation assay,
allow for quantitative interrogation of DNA methylation of CpG sites scattered
across the genome at single-nucleotide resolution; moreover, much effort
has been invested, by the bioinformatics community, in the development of
tools for properly removing technological effects that may contaminate
biological signatures measured by such assays. Despite these advances in both
biological and bioninformatical techniques, most statistical methods available
for the analysis of data produced by such assays rely on over-simplified (often
generalized linear) models.

Here, we present an alternative to such statistical analysis approaches, in the
form of nonparametric estimation procedures inspired by machine learning and
causal inference. Specifically, we provide a technique for obtaining estimates
of nonparametric *variable importance measures* (**VIM**), parameters with rich
scientific interpretations under the standard (untestable) assumptions used in
statistical causal inference, defining a limited set of VIMs specifically with
respect to the type of data commonly produced by DNA methylation assays.
For VIMs defined in such a manner, targeted minimum loss-based estimates may be
readily computed based on the data made available by DNA methylation assays.
Our contribution, `methyvim`

is an R package that provides facilities for
performing differential methylation analyses within exactly this scope.

As the substantive contribution of our work is an estimation procedure, we focus on data produced by 450k and 850k (EPIC) arrays made by Illumina and assume that data has been subjected to proper quality control and normalizaton procedures, as outlined by others in the computational biology community (Fortin et al. 2014, Dedeurwaerder et al. (2013)). For a general discussion of the framework of targeted minimum loss-based estimation and the role this approach plays in statistical causal inference, the interested reader is invited to consult van der Laan and Rose (2011) and van der Laan and Rose (2018). For a more general introduction to statistical causal inference, Pearl (2000) serves well.

The core functionality of this package is made available via the eponymous
`methyvim`

function, which implements a statistical algorithm designed to
compute targeted estimates of VIMs, defined in such a way that the VIMs
represent parameters of scientific interest in computational biology
experiments; moreover, these VIMs are defined such that they may be estimated in
a manner that is very nearly assumption-free, that is, within a *fully
nonparametric statistical model*. **The statistical algorithm consists in
several major steps:**

Pre-screening of genomic sites is used to isolate a subset of sites for which there is cursory evidence of differential methylation. For the sake of computational feasibility, targeted minimum loss-based estimates of VIMs are computed only for this subset of sites. Currently, the available screening approach adapts core routines from the

`limma`

R package. Future releases will support functionality from other packages (e.g.,`randomForest`

,`tmle.npvi`

). Following the style of the function for performing screening via`limma`

, users may write their own screening functions and are invited to contribute such functions to the core software package by opening pull requests at the GitHub repository.Nonparametric estimates of VIMs, for the specified target parameter, are computed at each of the CpG sites passing the screening step. The VIMs are defined in such a way that the estimated effects is of an exposure/treatment on the methylation status of a target CpG site, controlling for the observed methylation status of the neighbors of that site. Currently, routines are adapted from the

`tmle`

R package. Future releases will support doubly-robust estimates of these VIMs (via the`drtmle`

package) and add parameters for continuous treatments/exposures (via the`tmle.npvi`

package).Since pre-screening is performed prior to estimating VIMs, we make use of a multiple testing correction uniquely suited to such settings. Due to the multiple testing nature of the estimation problem, a variant of the Benjamini & Hochberg procedure for controlling the False Discovery Rate (FDR) is applied (Benjamini and Hochberg 1995). Specifically, we apply the “modified marginal Benjamini & Hochberg step-up False Discovery Rate controlling procedure for multi-stage analyses” (FDR-MSA), which is guaranteed to control the FDR as if all sites were tested (i.e., without screening) (Tuglus and van der Laan 2009).

For discrete-valued treatments or exposures:

The

*average treatment effect*(ATE): The effect of a binary exposure or treatment on the observed methylation at a target CpG site is estimated, controlling for the observed methylation at all other CpG sites in the same neighborhood as the target site, based on an additive form. In particular, the parameter estimate represents the**additive difference**in methylation that would have been observed at the target site had all observations received the treatment versus the counterfactual under which none received the treatment.The

*relative risk*(RR): The effect of a binary exposure or treatment on the observed methylation at a target CpG site is estimated, controlling for the observed methylation at all other CpG sites in the same neighborhood as the target site, based on a geometric form. In particular, the parameter estimate represents the**multiplicative difference**in methylation that would have been observed at the target site had all observations received the treatment versus the counterfactual under which none received the treatment.

Support for continuous-valued treatments or exposures is *planned but not yet
available*, though work is underway to incorporate into our methodology the
following

- A
*nonparametric variable importance measure*(NPVI) (Chambaz, Neuvial, and van der Laan 2012): The effect of continuous-valued exposure or treatment (the observed methylation at a target CpG site) on an outcome of interest is estimated, controlling for the observed methylation at all other CpG sites in the same neighborhood as the target (treatment) site, based on a parameter that compares values of the treatment against a reference value taken to be the null. In particular, the implementation provided is designed to assess the effect of differential methylation at the target CpG site on a (typically) phenotype-level outcome of interest (e.g., survival), in effect providing an nonparametric evaluation of the impact of methylation at the target site on said outcome.

*As previously noted, in all cases, an estimator of the target parameter is
constructed via targeted minimum loss-based estimation.*

Having now discussed the foundational principles of the estimation procedure
employed and the statistical algorithm implemented, it is best to proceed by
examining `methyvim`

by example.

First, we’ll load the `methyvim`

package and the example data contained in the
`methyvimData`

package that accompanies it:

`library(methyvim)`

`## methyvim v1.11.0: Targeted, Robust, and Model-free Differential Methylation Analysis`

`library(methyvimData)`

Now, let’s load the data set and seed the RNG:

```
set.seed(479253)
data(grsExample)
grsExample
```

```
## class: GenomicRatioSet
## dim: 400 210
## metadata(0):
## assays(2): Beta M
## rownames(400): cg23578515 cg06747907 ... cg01715842 cg09895959
## rowData names(0):
## colnames(210): V2 V3 ... V397 V398
## colData names(2): exp outcome
## Annotation
## array: IlluminaHumanMethylationEPIC
## Preprocessing
## Method: NA
## minfi version: NA
## Manifest version: NA
```

```
var_int <- as.numeric(colData(grsExample)[, 1])
table(var_int)
```

```
## var_int
## 0 1
## 105 105
```

The example data object is of class `GenomicRatioSet`

, provided by the `minfi`

package. The summary provided by the `print`

method gives a wealth of
information on the experiment that generated the data – since we are working
with a simulated data set, we need not concern ourselves with much of this
information.

We can create an object of class `methytmle`

from any `GenomicRatioSet`

object
simply invoking the S4 class constructor:

`mtmle <- .methytmle(grsExample)`

Since the `methytmle`

class builds upon the `GenomicRatioSet`

class, it contains
all of the slots of `GenomicRatioSet`

. The new class introduced in the
`methyvim`

package includes several new slots:

`call`

- the form of the original call to the`methyvim`

function.`screen_ind`

- indices identifying CpG sites that pass the screening process.`clusters`

- non-unique IDs corresponding to the manner in wich sites are treated as neighbors. These are assigned by genomic distance (bp) and respect chromosome boundaries (produced via a call to`bumphunter::clusterMaker`

).`var_int`

- the treatment/exposure status for each subject. Currently, these must be binary, due to the definition of the supported targeted parameters.`param`

- the name of the target parameter from which the estimated VIMs are defined.`vim`

- a table of statistical results obtained from estimating VIMs for each of the CpG sites that pass the screening procedure.`ic`

- the measured array values for each of the CpG sites passing the screening, transformed into influence curve space based on the chosen target parameter.

The interested analyst might consider consulting the documentation of the
`minfi`

package for an in-depth description of all of the other slots that
appear in this class (Aryee et al. 2014). Having examined the core structure of
the package, it is time now to discuss the analytic capabilities implemented.

The average treatment effect (ATE) is a canonical parameter that arises in statistical causal inference, often denoted \(\psi_0 = \psi_0(1) - \psi_0(0)\), representing the difference in an outcome between the counterfactuals under which all subjects received the treatment/exposure and under which none received such treatment/exposure. Under additional (untestable) assumptions, this parameter has a richer interpretation as a mean counterfactual outcome, wherein the counterfactuals used in this definition define causal effects. When causal assumptions remain unfulfilled or untested, this parameter may still be estimated in the form of a nonparametric VIM.

Estimating such the VIM corresponding to such a parameter requires two separate regression steps: one for the treatment mechanism (propensity score) and one for the outcome regression. Technical details on the nature of these regressions are discussed in Hernan and Robins (2019), and details for estimating these regressions in the framework of targeted minimum loss-based estimation are discussed in van der Laan and Rose (2011).

Nonparametric and data-adaptive regressions (i.e., machine learning) may be used in the two regression steps outlined above. This is implemented using the super learner algorithm, which produces optimal combinations of such regression functions (a variant of stacked regressions) using cross-validation (van der Laan, Polley, and Hubbard 2007, Breiman (1996), Wolpert (1992)).

`methyvim`

makes performing such estimation for CpG sites using a given VIM
essentially trivial:

```
suppressMessages(
methyvim_ate_sl <- methyvim(data_grs = grsExample, sites_comp = 25,
var_int = var_int, vim = "ate", type = "Mval",
filter = "limma", filter_cutoff = 0.10,
parallel = FALSE, tmle_type = "sl"
)
)
```

```
## Warning in set_parallel(parallel = parallel, future_param = future_param, :
## Sequential evaluation over many probes may take a long time.
```

As is clear from examining the object `methyvim_ate_sl`

, the output resembles
exactly that returned when examining objects of class `GenomicRatioSet`

from the
`minfi`

R package. In particular, the returned `methytmle`

object is merely a
modified form (in particular, a subclass) of the input `GenomicRatioSet`

object
– thus, it contains all of the original slots, with all of the experimental
data intact. Several extra pieces of information are contained within the output
object as well_.

We can take a look at the results produced from the estimation procedure (stored
in the `vim`

`slot`

of the `methytmle`

object) simply by invoking the custom S4
accessor function `vim`

(note that the `show`

method of the resultant object
also displays this same information, amongst other things):

`vim(methyvim_ate_sl)`

```
## lwr_ci est_ate upr_ci var_ate pval n_neighbors
## cg22913481 -2.241046 -0.5738109 1.0934239 0.7235714 4.999479e-01 0
## cg15131207 -1.414328 -0.4633953 0.4875377 0.2353898 3.395171e-01 0
## cg10613282 -2.230081 -0.8691549 0.4917713 0.4821220 2.106598e-01 0
## cg15857610 -2.044781 -0.2695842 1.5056124 0.8203152 7.659713e-01 5
## cg24775884 -3.749987 0.5128954 4.7757779 4.7303641 8.135720e-01 5
## cg22954484 -2.570027 0.6063534 3.7827334 2.6263510 7.082903e-01 5
## cg23076894 -5.761423 -0.4517812 4.8578604 7.3386853 8.675507e-01 5
## cg07697276 -3.079394 -0.7915787 1.4962367 1.3624790 4.976732e-01 5
## cg01674119 -2.517292 -1.0973701 0.3225520 0.5248279 1.298325e-01 5
## cg02749733 -1.883485 -0.8608829 0.1617195 0.2722084 9.893564e-02 0
## cg12742764 -8.686076 -4.4381324 -0.1901884 4.6972689 4.058422e-02 8
## cg15396367 -10.948696 -5.4022936 0.1441086 8.0077512 5.625247e-02 8
## cg18233010 -8.446659 -4.3621161 -0.2775733 4.3428492 3.633168e-02 8
## cg01532849 -6.020016 -2.6830751 0.6538663 2.8985781 1.150391e-01 8
## cg24268444 -6.977900 -3.5516457 -0.1253913 3.0558151 4.218095e-02 8
## cg10560245 -4.537997 -2.0915700 0.3548566 1.5579455 9.379696e-02 8
## cg20185936 -6.528386 -3.3249208 -0.1214552 2.6713328 4.192027e-02 8
## cg06714180 -1.905104 -1.2702925 -0.6354814 0.1049003 8.779157e-05 8
## cg15817960 -0.998158 -0.1084321 0.7812938 0.2060632 8.112081e-01 8
## cg15611151 -1.674590 -0.6383086 0.3979726 0.2795394 2.273231e-01 7
## cg00567703 -1.643306 -0.7310898 0.1811269 0.2166127 1.162225e-01 7
## cg01609275 -1.675129 -0.6567175 0.3616940 0.2699818 2.062673e-01 7
## cg00058576 -3.259925 0.3561932 3.9723111 3.4038704 8.469096e-01 7
## cg26992600 -3.346484 -0.2549158 2.8366523 2.4879721 8.716113e-01 7
## cg12172984 -2.077834 1.5873883 5.2526103 3.4969421 3.959561e-01 7
## n_neighbors_control max_cor_neighbors
## cg22913481 0 NA
## cg15131207 0 NA
## cg10613282 0 NA
## cg15857610 4 0.77207047
## cg24775884 2 0.88975664
## cg22954484 2 0.86439358
## cg23076894 1 0.88975664
## cg07697276 2 0.84238389
## cg01674119 5 0.61874408
## cg02749733 0 NA
## cg12742764 2 0.90569752
## cg15396367 2 0.90569752
## cg18233010 2 0.88601655
## cg01532849 2 0.89423768
## cg24268444 2 0.89690199
## cg10560245 2 0.86644061
## cg20185936 2 0.87376499
## cg06714180 8 -0.09301902
## cg15817960 8 0.40419875
## cg15611151 7 0.13851867
## cg00567703 7 0.13851867
## cg01609275 7 0.20795189
## cg00058576 4 0.88568207
## cg26992600 4 0.85605741
## cg12172984 4 0.87356095
```

From the table displayed, we note that we have access to point estimates of the ATE (“est_ate”) as well as lower and upper confidence interval bounds for each estimate (“lwr_ci” and “upr_ci”, respectively). Additional statistical information we have access to include the variance (“var_ate”) of the estimate as well as the p-value (“pval”) associated with each point estimate (based on Wald-style testing procedures). Beyond these, key bioinformatical quantities, with respect to the algorithm outlined above, are also returned; these include the total number of neighbors of the target site (“n_neighbors”), the number of neighboring sites controlled for when estimating the effect of exposure on DNA methylation (“n_neighbors_control”), and, the maximum correlation between the target site and any given site in its full set of neighbors (“max_cor_neighbors”).

In cases where nonparametric regressions may not be preferred (e.g., where time constraints are of concern), generalized linear models (GLMs) may be used to fit the two regression steps required for estimating VIMs for the ATE.

`methyvim`

makes performing such estimation for CpG sites using a given VIM
essentially trivial:

```
suppressMessages(
methyvim_ate_glm <- methyvim(data_grs = grsExample, sites_comp = 25,
var_int = var_int, vim = "ate", type = "Mval",
filter = "limma", filter_cutoff = 0.10,
parallel = FALSE, tmle_type = "glm"
)
)
```

```
## Warning in set_parallel(parallel = parallel, future_param = future_param, :
## Sequential evaluation over many probes may take a long time.
```

Just as before, we can take a look at the results produced from the estimation
procedure (stored in the `vim`

`slot`

of the `methytmle`

object) simply by
invoking the custom S4 accessor function `vim`

(note that the `show`

method of
the resultant object also displays this same information, amongst other things):

`vim(methyvim_ate_glm)`

```
## lwr_ci est_ate upr_ci var_ate pval
## cg22913481 -2.2737329 -0.61095578 1.05182129 0.7197073 4.714236e-01
## cg15131207 -1.4052652 -0.46187188 0.48152148 0.2316720 3.372626e-01
## cg10613282 -2.2542647 -0.88585344 0.48255779 0.4874399 2.045039e-01
## cg15857610 -2.4325450 -0.48107089 1.47040317 0.9913190 6.289731e-01
## cg24775884 -3.3747760 1.07346950 5.52171503 5.1506894 6.362164e-01
## cg22954484 -2.0920242 1.08070264 4.25342943 2.6203132 5.043759e-01
## cg23076894 -5.7167079 -0.50400813 4.70869167 7.0731568 8.496935e-01
## cg07697276 -2.8678982 -0.52591073 1.81607675 1.4277659 6.598411e-01
## cg01674119 -2.4613602 -0.90544317 0.65047384 0.6301743 2.540392e-01
## cg02749733 -1.8923030 -0.87365602 0.14499097 0.2701066 9.275906e-02
## cg12742764 -8.8892360 -4.56431555 -0.23939514 4.8690485 3.859389e-02
## cg15396367 -10.0395853 -4.28710706 1.46537120 8.6138604 1.440937e-01
## cg18233010 -8.1404001 -3.88759842 0.36520322 4.7080179 7.318299e-02
## cg01532849 -6.2097167 -2.80064889 0.60841887 3.0252351 1.073548e-01
## cg24268444 -6.8848141 -3.45993270 -0.03505126 3.0533665 4.769687e-02
## cg10560245 -4.3925622 -1.98734363 0.41787495 1.5059029 1.053449e-01
## cg20185936 -6.2100752 -3.05038976 0.10929566 2.5988161 5.846404e-02
## cg06714180 -1.9161920 -1.27931242 -0.64243279 0.1055851 8.247573e-05
## cg15817960 -0.9821399 -0.08687332 0.80839327 0.2086376 8.491594e-01
## cg15611151 -1.6895107 -0.64225180 0.40500713 0.2854934 2.293605e-01
## cg00567703 -1.5560011 -0.65512297 0.24575516 0.2112613 1.540643e-01
## cg01609275 -1.5946467 -0.61958346 0.35547977 0.2474876 2.129697e-01
## cg00058576 -4.0047990 -0.17636854 3.65206191 3.8153060 9.280540e-01
## cg26992600 -4.6156645 -1.30503285 2.00559882 2.8530513 4.397466e-01
## cg12172984 -3.8585666 0.26942032 4.39740728 4.4357237 8.982100e-01
## n_neighbors n_neighbors_control max_cor_neighbors
## cg22913481 0 0 NA
## cg15131207 0 0 NA
## cg10613282 0 0 NA
## cg15857610 5 4 0.77207047
## cg24775884 5 2 0.88975664
## cg22954484 5 2 0.86439358
## cg23076894 5 1 0.88975664
## cg07697276 5 2 0.84238389
## cg01674119 5 5 0.61874408
## cg02749733 0 0 NA
## cg12742764 8 2 0.90569752
## cg15396367 8 2 0.90569752
## cg18233010 8 2 0.88601655
## cg01532849 8 2 0.89423768
## cg24268444 8 2 0.89690199
## cg10560245 8 2 0.86644061
## cg20185936 8 2 0.87376499
## cg06714180 8 8 -0.09301902
## cg15817960 8 8 0.40419875
## cg15611151 7 7 0.13851867
## cg00567703 7 7 0.13851867
## cg01609275 7 7 0.20795189
## cg00058576 7 4 0.88568207
## cg26992600 7 4 0.85605741
## cg12172984 7 4 0.87356095
```

*Remark:* Here, the estimates are obtained via GLMs, making each of the
regression steps less robust than if nonparametric regressions were used. It is
expected that these estimates differ from those obtained previously.

The risk ratio (RR) is another popular parameter that arises in statistical causal inference, denoted \(\psi_0 = \frac{\psi_0(1)}{\psi_0(0)}\), representing the multiplicative contrast of an outcome between the counterfactuals under which all subjects received the treatment/exposure and under which none received such treatment/exposure. Under additional (untestable) assumptions, this parameter has a richer interpretation as a mean counterfactual outcome, wherein the counterfactuals used in this definition define causal effects. When causal assumptions remain unfulfilled or untested, this parameter may still be estimated in the form of a nonparametric VIM.

Just as before (in the case of the ATE), there are two regression steps required for estimating VIMs based on this parameter. We do so in a manner analogous to that described previously.

Nonparametric and data-adaptive regressions (i.e., machine learning) may be used in the two regression steps required for estimating a VIM based on the RR. This is implemented using the Super Learner algorithm.

`methyvim`

makes performing such estimation for CpG sites using a given VIM
essentially trivial:

```
methyvim_rr_sl <- methyvim(data_grs = grsExample, sites_comp = 25,
var_int = var_int, vim = "rr", type = "Mval",
filter = "limma", filter_cutoff = 0.10,
parallel = FALSE, tmle_type = "sl"
)
```

```
## Warning in set_parallel(parallel = parallel, future_param = future_param, :
## Sequential evaluation over many probes may take a long time.
```

Just as before, we can take a look at the results produced from the estimation
procedure (stored in the `vim`

`slot`

of the `methytmle`

object) simply by
invoking the custom S4 accessor function `vim`

(note that the `show`

method of
the resultant object also displays this same information, amongst other things):

`vim(methyvim_rr_sl)`

```
## lwr_ci est_logrr upr_ci var_logrr pval
## cg22913481 -0.4092109 -0.157928211 0.09335450 0.01643664 0.2180100541
## cg15131207 -0.3866242 -0.132565211 0.12149379 0.01680185 0.3064465908
## cg10613282 -0.4609511 -0.209992283 0.04096657 0.01639430 0.1009949347
## cg15857610 -0.3912380 -0.122627974 0.14598203 0.01878158 0.3708967928
## cg24775884 -0.3001760 -0.012590429 0.27499517 0.02152891 0.9316187838
## cg22954484 -0.2096686 0.082632719 0.37493408 0.02224076 0.5795199112
## cg23076894 -0.3972518 -0.118400427 0.16045096 0.02024107 0.4052865289
## cg07697276 -0.4183878 -0.147105093 0.12417763 0.01915720 0.2878614482
## cg01674119 -0.5631423 -0.260549225 0.04204388 0.02383449 0.0914751160
## cg02749733 -0.3595319 -0.107507455 0.14451703 0.01653382 0.4031054760
## cg12742764 -0.7252065 -0.443645032 -0.16208358 0.02063641 0.0020130988
## cg15396367 -0.4854500 -0.195317164 0.09481569 0.02191198 0.1870119863
## cg18233010 -0.5963658 -0.310380117 -0.02439445 0.02129004 0.0334045380
## cg01532849 -0.4587578 -0.185399867 0.08795806 0.01945142 0.1837381017
## cg24268444 -0.6211676 -0.329263725 -0.03735987 0.02218031 0.0270459272
## cg10560245 -0.4215148 -0.156131854 0.10925108 0.01833301 0.2488610324
## cg20185936 -0.6060344 -0.325562935 -0.04509150 0.02047694 0.0228993370
## cg06714180 -0.7287084 -0.472424460 -0.21614047 0.01709743 0.0003026843
## cg15817960 -0.2907364 -0.005245429 0.28024557 0.02121645 0.9712729639
## cg15611151 -0.3362025 -0.106709841 0.12278280 0.01370962 0.3621037170
## cg00567703 -0.4298602 -0.162501535 0.10485717 0.01860701 0.2335379131
## cg01609275 -0.5015721 -0.240907053 0.01975800 0.01768697 0.0700735236
## cg00058576 -0.4121000 -0.130558355 0.15098334 0.02063352 0.3634007899
## cg26992600 -0.6375980 -0.328990324 -0.02038266 0.02479141 0.0366670157
## cg12172984 -0.2061964 0.055151896 0.31650019 0.01777981 0.6791556913
## n_neighbors n_neighbors_control max_cor_neighbors
## cg22913481 0 0 NA
## cg15131207 0 0 NA
## cg10613282 0 0 NA
## cg15857610 5 4 0.77207047
## cg24775884 5 2 0.88975664
## cg22954484 5 2 0.86439358
## cg23076894 5 1 0.88975664
## cg07697276 5 2 0.84238389
## cg01674119 5 5 0.61874408
## cg02749733 0 0 NA
## cg12742764 8 2 0.90569752
## cg15396367 8 2 0.90569752
## cg18233010 8 2 0.88601655
## cg01532849 8 2 0.89423768
## cg24268444 8 2 0.89690199
## cg10560245 8 2 0.86644061
## cg20185936 8 2 0.87376499
## cg06714180 8 8 -0.09301902
## cg15817960 8 8 0.40419875
## cg15611151 7 7 0.13851867
## cg00567703 7 7 0.13851867
## cg01609275 7 7 0.20795189
## cg00058576 7 4 0.88568207
## cg26992600 7 4 0.85605741
## cg12172984 7 4 0.87356095
```

In cases where nonparametric regressions may not be preferred (e.g., where time constraints are of concern), generalized linear models (GLMs) may be used to fit the two regression steps required for estimating a VIMs for the ATE.

`methyvim`

makes performing such estimation for CpG sites using a given VIM
essentially trivial:

```
methyvim_rr_glm <- methyvim(data_grs = grsExample, sites_comp = 25,
var_int = var_int, vim = "rr", type = "Mval",
filter = "limma", filter_cutoff = 0.10,
parallel = FALSE, tmle_type = "glm"
)
```

```
## Warning in set_parallel(parallel = parallel, future_param = future_param, :
## Sequential evaluation over many probes may take a long time.
```

Just as before, we can take a look at the results produced from the estimation
procedure (stored in the `vim`

`slot`

of the `methytmle`

object) simply by
invoking the custom S4 accessor function `vim`

(note that the `show`

method of
the resultant object also displays this same information, amongst other things):

`vim(methyvim_rr_glm)`

```
## lwr_ci est_logrr upr_ci var_logrr pval
## cg22913481 -0.4069465 -0.155520490 0.09590554 0.01645540 0.2253726279
## cg15131207 -0.3873508 -0.133384529 0.12058178 0.01678959 0.3032903444
## cg10613282 -0.4643026 -0.211461376 0.04137980 0.01664116 0.1011658212
## cg15857610 -0.4228660 -0.155410347 0.11204529 0.01862050 0.2547463475
## cg24775884 -0.3033120 -0.016800891 0.26971026 0.02136835 0.9084977837
## cg22954484 -0.2082032 0.086205045 0.38061331 0.02256253 0.5660332076
## cg23076894 -0.4000291 -0.121096780 0.15783558 0.02025283 0.3948126687
## cg07697276 -0.4239004 -0.152774774 0.11835081 0.01913502 0.2694077189
## cg01674119 -0.5602798 -0.261862697 0.03655444 0.02318117 0.0854486358
## cg02749733 -0.3663749 -0.114789703 0.13679545 0.01647623 0.3711715787
## cg12742764 -0.7247314 -0.442113551 -0.15949570 0.02079156 0.0021685034
## cg15396367 -0.5015719 -0.211841735 0.07788841 0.02185120 0.1518316990
## cg18233010 -0.6001598 -0.314071570 -0.02798334 0.02130531 0.0314198235
## cg01532849 -0.4735781 -0.194981413 0.08361524 0.02020411 0.1701428235
## cg24268444 -0.6319682 -0.339784180 -0.04760017 0.02222290 0.0226488361
## cg10560245 -0.4216809 -0.155147888 0.11138516 0.01849226 0.2539079346
## cg20185936 -0.6129249 -0.329697504 -0.04647011 0.02088134 0.0225139071
## cg06714180 -0.7220646 -0.464710184 -0.20735573 0.01724055 0.0004013234
## cg15817960 -0.2824709 0.002817598 0.28810607 0.02118636 0.9845558569
## cg15611151 -0.3524153 -0.119936485 0.11254236 0.01406872 0.3119353187
## cg00567703 -0.4340690 -0.167252518 0.09956395 0.01853161 0.2192158746
## cg01609275 -0.5099162 -0.246428433 0.01705934 0.01807211 0.0667875358
## cg00058576 -0.3969395 -0.111432402 0.17407468 0.02121884 0.4442828298
## cg26992600 -0.6417775 -0.332846224 -0.02391490 0.02484344 0.0347098769
## cg12172984 -0.2504724 0.014082907 0.27863817 0.01821884 0.9169031295
## n_neighbors n_neighbors_control max_cor_neighbors
## cg22913481 0 0 NA
## cg15131207 0 0 NA
## cg10613282 0 0 NA
## cg15857610 5 4 0.77207047
## cg24775884 5 2 0.88975664
## cg22954484 5 2 0.86439358
## cg23076894 5 1 0.88975664
## cg07697276 5 2 0.84238389
## cg01674119 5 5 0.61874408
## cg02749733 0 0 NA
## cg12742764 8 2 0.90569752
## cg15396367 8 2 0.90569752
## cg18233010 8 2 0.88601655
## cg01532849 8 2 0.89423768
## cg24268444 8 2 0.89690199
## cg10560245 8 2 0.86644061
## cg20185936 8 2 0.87376499
## cg06714180 8 8 -0.09301902
## cg15817960 8 8 0.40419875
## cg15611151 7 7 0.13851867
## cg00567703 7 7 0.13851867
## cg01609275 7 7 0.20795189
## cg00058576 7 4 0.88568207
## cg26992600 7 4 0.85605741
## cg12172984 7 4 0.87356095
```

*Remark:* Here, the estimates are obtained via GLMs, making each of the
regression steps less robust than if nonparametric regressions were used. It is
expected that these estimates differ from those obtained previously.

`methyvim`

In order to explore practical applications of the `methyvim`

package, as well as
the full set of utilities it provides, our toy example (of just \(10\) CpG sites)
is unfortunately insufficient. To proceed, we will use a publicly available
example data set produced by the Illumina 450K array, from the `minfiData`

R
package. Now, let’s load the package and data set, and take a look

```
suppressMessages(library(minfiData))
data(MsetEx)
mset <- mapToGenome(MsetEx)
grs <- ratioConvert(mset)
grs
```

```
## class: GenomicRatioSet
## dim: 485512 6
## metadata(0):
## assays(2): Beta CN
## rownames(485512): cg13869341 cg14008030 ... cg08265308 cg14273923
## rowData names(0):
## colnames(6): 5723646052_R02C02 5723646052_R04C01 ... 5723646053_R05C02
## 5723646053_R06C02
## colData names(13): Sample_Name Sample_Well ... Basename filenames
## Annotation
## array: IlluminaHumanMethylation450k
## annotation: ilmn12.hg19
## Preprocessing
## Method: Raw (no normalization or bg correction)
## minfi version: 1.21.2
## Manifest version: 0.4.0
```

After loading the data, which comes in the form of a raw `MethylSet`

object, we
perform some further processing by mapping to the genome (with `mapToGenome`

)
and converting the values from the methylated and unmethylated channels to
Beta-values (via `ratioConvert`

). These two steps together produce an object of
class `GenomicRatioSet`

, like what we had worked with previously.

For this example analysis, we’ll treat the condition of the patients as the
exposure/treatment variable of interest. The `methyvim`

function requires that
this variable either be `numeric`

or easily coercible to `numeric`

. To
facilitate this, we’ll simply convert the covariate (currently a `character`

):

```
var_int <- (as.numeric(as.factor(colData(grs)$status)) - 1)
table(var_int)
```

```
## var_int
## 0 1
## 3 3
```

**n.b.**, the re-coding process results in “normal” patients being assigned a
value of 1 and cancer patients a 0.

Now, we are ready to analyze the effects of cancer status on DNA methylation using this data set. To do this with a targeted minimum loss-based estimate of the Average Treatment Effect, we may proceed as follows:

```
suppressMessages(
methyvim_cancer_ate <- methyvim(data_grs = grs, var_int = var_int,
vim = "ate", type = "Beta", filter = "limma",
filter_cutoff = 0.30, obs_per_covar = 2,
parallel = FALSE, sites_comp = 50,
tmle_args = list(cv_folds = 2),
tmle_type = "sl"
)
)
```

Note that we set the `obs_per_covar`

argument to a relatively low value (2,
where the recommended default is 20) for the purposes of this example as the
sample size is only 10. We do this only to exemplify the estimation procedure
and it is important to point out that such low values for `obs_per_covar`

will
compromise the quality of inference obtained because this setting directly
affects the definition of the target parameter.

Further, note that here we apply the `glm`

flavor of the `tmle_type`

argument,
which produces faster results by fitting models for the propensity score and
outcome regressions using a limited number of parametric models. By contrast,
the `sl`

(for “Super Learning”) flavor fits these two regressions using highly
nonparametric and data-adaptive procedures (i.e., via machine learning).

Let’s examine the table of results by examining the `methytmle`

object that was
produced by our call to the `methyvim`

wrapper function:

`methyvim_cancer_ate`

Finally, we may compute FDR-corrected p-values, by applying a modified procedure
for controlling the False Discovery Rate for multi-stage analyses (FDR-MSA)
(Tuglus and van der Laan 2009). We do this by simply applying the `fdr_msa`

function:

```
fdr_p <- fdr_msa(pvals = vim(methyvim_cancer_ate)$pval,
total_obs = nrow(methyvim_cancer_ate))
```

Having explored the results of our analysis numerically, we now proceed to use
the visualization tools provided with the `methyvim`

R package to further
enhance our understanding of the results.

While making allowance for users to explore the full set of results produced by
the estimation procedure (by way of exposing these directly to the user), the
`methyvim`

package also provides *three* (3) visualization utilities that
produce plots commonly used in examining the results of differential methylation
analyses.

A simple call to `plot`

produces side-by-side histograms of the raw p-values
computed as part of the estimation process and the corrected p-values obtained
from using the FDR-MSA procedure.

`plot(methyvim_cancer_ate)`

**Remark:** The plots displayed above may also be generated separately by
explicitly setting the argument “type” to `plot.methytmle`

. For a plot of the
raw p-values, specify `type = "raw_pvals"`

, and for a plot of the FDR-corrected
p-values, specify `type = "fdr_pvals"`

.

While histograms of the p-values may be generally useful in inspecting the
results of the estimation procedure, a more common plot used in examining the
results of differential methylation procedures is the volcano plot, which plots
the parameter estimate along the x-axis and \(-\text{log}_{10}(\text{p-value})\)
along the y-axis. We implement such a plot in the `methyvolc`

function:

`methyvolc(methyvim_cancer_ate)`

The purpose of such a plot is to ensure that very low (possibly statistically
significant) p-values do not arise from cases of low variance. This appears to
be the case in the plot above (notice that most parameter estimates are *near
zero*, even in cases where the raw p-values are quite low).

Yet another popular plot for visualizing effects in such settings is the
heatmap, which plots estimates of the raw methylation effects (as measured by
the assay) across subjects using a heat gradient. We implement this in the
`methyheat`

function:

`methyheat(methyvim_cancer_ate)`

Invoking `methyheat`

in this manner produces a plot of the top sites (\(25\), by
default) based on the raw p-value, using the raw methylation measures in the
plot. This uses the exceptional `superheat`

R package (Barter and Yu 2017).

```
## R version 4.0.0 RC (2020-04-19 r78255)
## Platform: x86_64-pc-linux-gnu (64-bit)
## Running under: Ubuntu 18.04.4 LTS
##
## Matrix products: default
## BLAS: /home/biocbuild/bbs-3.12-bioc/R/lib/libRblas.so
## LAPACK: /home/biocbuild/bbs-3.12-bioc/R/lib/libRlapack.so
##
## locale:
## [1] LC_CTYPE=en_US.UTF-8 LC_NUMERIC=C
## [3] LC_TIME=en_US.UTF-8 LC_COLLATE=C
## [5] LC_MONETARY=en_US.UTF-8 LC_MESSAGES=en_US.UTF-8
## [7] LC_PAPER=en_US.UTF-8 LC_NAME=C
## [9] LC_ADDRESS=C LC_TELEPHONE=C
## [11] LC_MEASUREMENT=en_US.UTF-8 LC_IDENTIFICATION=C
##
## attached base packages:
## [1] splines stats4 parallel stats graphics grDevices utils
## [8] datasets methods base
##
## other attached packages:
## [1] minfiData_0.33.0
## [2] IlluminaHumanMethylation450kanno.ilmn12.hg19_0.6.0
## [3] IlluminaHumanMethylation450kmanifest_0.4.0
## [4] gam_1.16.1
## [5] doFuture_0.9.0
## [6] future_1.17.0
## [7] globals_0.12.5
## [8] methyvimData_1.9.0
## [9] methyvim_1.11.0
## [10] minfi_1.35.0
## [11] bumphunter_1.31.0
## [12] locfit_1.5-9.4
## [13] iterators_1.0.12
## [14] foreach_1.5.0
## [15] Biostrings_2.57.0
## [16] XVector_0.29.0
## [17] SummarizedExperiment_1.19.0
## [18] DelayedArray_0.15.0
## [19] matrixStats_0.56.0
## [20] Biobase_2.49.0
## [21] GenomicRanges_1.41.0
## [22] GenomeInfoDb_1.25.0
## [23] IRanges_2.23.0
## [24] S4Vectors_0.27.0
## [25] BiocGenerics_0.35.0
## [26] tmle_1.4.0.1
## [27] SuperLearner_2.0-26
## [28] nnls_1.4
## [29] glmnet_3.0-2
## [30] Matrix_1.2-18
## [31] BiocStyle_2.17.0
##
## loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
## [1] BiocFileCache_1.13.0 plyr_1.8.6
## [3] BiocParallel_1.23.0 listenv_0.8.0
## [5] ggplot2_3.3.0 digest_0.6.25
## [7] htmltools_0.4.0 earth_5.1.2
## [9] magrittr_1.5 memoise_1.1.0
## [11] cluster_2.1.0 limma_3.45.0
## [13] readr_1.3.1 annotate_1.67.0
## [15] askpass_1.1 siggenes_1.63.0
## [17] prettyunits_1.1.1 colorspace_1.4-1
## [19] blob_1.2.1 rappdirs_0.3.1
## [21] xfun_0.13 dplyr_0.8.5
## [23] crayon_1.3.4 RCurl_1.98-1.2
## [25] lme4_1.1-23 genefilter_1.71.0
## [27] GEOquery_2.57.0 survival_3.1-12
## [29] glue_1.4.0 gtable_0.3.0
## [31] zlibbioc_1.35.0 superheat_0.1.0
## [33] Rhdf5lib_1.11.0 shape_1.4.4
## [35] HDF5Array_1.17.0 abind_1.4-5
## [37] scales_1.1.0 DBI_1.1.0
## [39] rngtools_1.5 Rcpp_1.0.4.6
## [41] plotrix_3.7-8 xtable_1.8-4
## [43] progress_1.2.2 bit_1.1-15.2
## [45] mclust_5.4.6 preprocessCore_1.51.0
## [47] Formula_1.2-3 httr_1.4.1
## [49] RColorBrewer_1.1-2 ellipsis_0.3.0
## [51] pkgconfig_2.0.3 reshape_0.8.8
## [53] XML_3.99-0.3 dbplyr_1.4.3
## [55] tidyselect_1.0.0 rlang_0.4.5
## [57] AnnotationDbi_1.51.0 TeachingDemos_2.12
## [59] munsell_0.5.0 tools_4.0.0
## [61] RSQLite_2.2.0 evaluate_0.14
## [63] stringr_1.4.0 arm_1.11-1
## [65] yaml_2.2.1 knitr_1.28
## [67] bit64_0.9-7 beanplot_1.2
## [69] scrime_1.3.5 purrr_0.3.4
## [71] nlme_3.1-147 doRNG_1.8.2
## [73] nor1mix_1.3-0 xml2_1.3.2
## [75] biomaRt_2.45.0 compiler_4.0.0
## [77] curl_4.3 statmod_1.4.34
## [79] tibble_3.0.1 stringi_1.4.6
## [81] plotmo_3.5.7 GenomicFeatures_1.41.0
## [83] lattice_0.20-41 nloptr_1.2.2.1
## [85] ggsci_2.9 multtest_2.45.0
## [87] vctrs_0.2.4 pillar_1.4.3
## [89] lifecycle_0.2.0 BiocManager_1.30.10
## [91] data.table_1.12.8 bitops_1.0-6
## [93] rtracklayer_1.49.0 R6_2.4.1
## [95] bookdown_0.18 gridExtra_2.3
## [97] codetools_0.2-16 boot_1.3-25
## [99] MASS_7.3-51.6 gtools_3.8.2
## [101] assertthat_0.2.1 rhdf5_2.33.0
## [103] openssl_1.4.1 GenomicAlignments_1.25.0
## [105] Rsamtools_2.5.0 GenomeInfoDbData_1.2.3
## [107] hms_0.5.3 quadprog_1.5-8
## [109] grid_4.0.0 minqa_1.2.4
## [111] coda_0.19-3 tidyr_1.0.2
## [113] base64_2.0 rmarkdown_2.1
## [115] DelayedMatrixStats_1.11.0 illuminaio_0.31.0
```

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Benjamini, Yoav, and Yosef Hochberg. 1995. “Controlling the False Discovery Rate: A Practical and Powerful Approach to Multiple Testing.” *Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological)*. JSTOR, 289–300.

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Chambaz, Antoine, Pierre Neuvial, and Mark J van der Laan. 2012. “Estimation of a Non-Parametric Variable Importance Measure of a Continuous Exposure.” *Electronic Journal of Statistics* 6. NIH Public Access:1059.

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Fortin, Jean-Philippe, Aurelie Labbe, Mathieu Lemire, Brent W Zanke, Thomas J Hudson, Elana J Fertig, Celia MT Greenwood, and Kasper D Hansen. 2014. “Functional Normalization of 450k Methylation Array Data Improves Replication in Large Cancer Studies.” *bioRxiv*. Cold Spring Harbor Labs Journals.

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Robertson, Keith D. 2005. “DNA Methylation and Human Disease.” *Nature Reviews. Genetics* 6 (8). Nature Publishing Group:597.

Tuglus, Catherine, and Mark J van der Laan. 2009. “Modified FDR Controlling Procedure for Multi-Stage Analyses.” *Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology* 8 (1). Walter de Gruyter:1–15. https://doi.org/10.2202/1544-6115.1397.

van der Laan, Mark J, Eric C Polley, and Alan E Hubbard. 2007. “Super Learner.” *Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology* 6 (1).

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———. 2018. *Targeted Learning in Data Science: Causal Inference for Complex Longitudinal Studies*. Springer Science & Business Media.

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